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Texte juridique · n° 49

Second Quarter 2023 Economic Outlook Bulletin

Cameroun · 49 · Adoption : 30 juin 2023

Ce bulletin économique du deuxième trimestre 2023 analyse la conjoncture internationale et nationale. Il présente les évolutions du PIB, de l'inflation, des finances publiques, du secteur monétaire et bancaire. Le document inclut des données sur les prix des matières premières, le taux de change du franc CFA, et les perspectives macroéconomiques. Il est publié par la Division des Prévisions du Ministère des Finances du Cameroun.

MINISTRY OF FINANCE SECRETARIAT GENERAL DIVISION OF FORECASTS REPUBLIC OF CAMEROON Peace – Work – Fatherland

SECOND QUARTER 2023

ECONOMIC OUTLOOK BULLETIN

Economic Outlook Bulletin

Economic Outlook Bulletin NO. 49 June

SUMMARY

SACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS ... Erreur ! Signet non défini. OVERVIEW ... Erreur ! Signet non défini. MACROECONOMIC FRAMING ELEMENTS ... 6 EXTERNAL SECTOR ... Erreur ! Signet non défini. PUBLIC FINANCES ... 20 MONETARY SITUATION ... Erreur ! Signet non défini. BANKING SECTOR ... Erreur ! Signet non défini. SOCIO-ECONOMIC INFORMATION ... Erreur ! Signet non défini.

Economic Outlook Bulletin Economic Outlook Bulletin NO. 49 June

Economic Outlook Bulletin

Economic Outlook Bulletin NO. 49 June

ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS

BEACBank of Central African States
CEMACEconomic and Monetary Community of Central Africa
CTCorporate Tax
DFDivision of Forecasts
DGCDirectorate General of Customs
GDPGross Domestic Product
GNPGovernment Net Position
OECDOrganization for Economic Cooperation and Development
HPSFHydrocarbons Prices Stabilisation Fund
IMFInternational Monetary Fund
lbPound Sterling
MINFIMinistry of Finance
NHCNational Hydrocarbons Corporation
NPTNet Position of the Treasury
STPPSpecial Tax on the sale of Petroleum Products
VATValue Added Tax

In the second quarter of 2023, global economic activity is marked by the decline in manufacturing production and the continued tightening of monetary and financial conditions.

In the group of advanced countries, and according to the OECD, GDP growth in the second quarter was 0.5%, after 0.4% in the previous quarter. In the United States, growth remained almost stable (0.6% after 0.5%). In the euro zone, it improved (0.3% after 0.0%).

In the group of emerging countries, we also record a slowdown in economic activity. This trend is common to almost all the economies in this group. Indeed, in China, economic growth in the second quarter slowed to 0.8% after 2.2% in the first quarter, in line with weak domestic demand. Growth also slowed in India (1.9% after 2.1%) and Brazil (0.9% after 1.8%). Conversely, growth accelerated in South Africa (0.6% after 0.4%) and remained at 0.8% in Mexico.

Over the year 2023 and according to the IMF (July 2023), global growth should be at 3%, after to 3.5% last year.

For advanced countries, the slowdown in growth forecast for 2023 remained notable with a rate that would drop from 2.7% in 2022 to 1.5%. In the United States, growth is expected to slow to 1.8% in 2023 after 2.1% in 2022. In the euro zone, growth is expected to slow to 0.9% after 3.5%. In Japan, GDP is expected to grow by 1.4% in 2023 after to 1% the previous year.

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